Business and Money Tips

How people think: if you have been having 3 boys in a row, you will think that your chance of a girl the next round will be high.  Truth is that the gender of your next child has nothing to do with the gender of the previous child.  This is because each sex has an equal probability independent of the last one .  The failure to recognize this is called ' Gambler's Fallacy ', which reflects how people make mistake in their decisions by mistaking that the past will predict the future . Anyone that try to foretell your fortune for 2014 will end up being wrong most of the time, simply because they base their prediction on the past. We all know the failures of companies like HTC, Nokia and Blackberry: they produce their products based on past demand and end up with excessive stocks. The truth is that everything that happen today is made up of many factors happening not just now, but in the past .   There is no one single factor that we can attribute to any success ...